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6-7 position better than 5th ?

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This Post:
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273741.1
Date: 10/01/2015 11:52:04
Overall Posts Rated:
55
I was wondering if it's actually better for a club financially to finish in the relagation playoffs in a 6th or even 7th position than it is to end up 5th?

Playing in Denmark and relegation is really not an issue (will be auto promoted if relegated)
You earn good money in the relegation PO's but nothing if you end up 5th - just more friendlys.

In other Words - does it pay off to lose the last game in the season on purpose to end up 6th instead of 5th ?

best regards
/Fleisch.

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273741.2 in reply to 273741.1
Date: 10/01/2015 13:56:29
Overall Posts Rated:
5959
I would say no, You don't have to play any games that you may end up loosing and avoid demotion. But in your case it aint a problem?
relegation is really not an issue (will be auto promoted if relegated)
If you were in the usa leagues this wouldn't be the case you don't want to relegate to the lower diviison unless your looking for good draftees as my understanding of the game so far. But in your case it may do good (finacially) to play more games plus you only get profit on home games.

Heading on the right path so far. Are you?
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273741.4 in reply to 273741.3
Date: 10/01/2015 21:43:03
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
It depends...they changed the structure a while back so that the 5th place team does not have to pay salaries after the last economic update of regular season. If you have an expensive roster, this is a big bonus. If not, it may be worth it. Remember, you only get 1/3 of away games and 2/3 of home games for playoffs.


The first week of the playoffs the 5th place team pays half salaries, and the revenues for playoff and relegation games are now split 50-50 (with the exception of the third game of the finals, which no longer has gate receipts, and instead the winner of the finals series gets some money and the loser gets less).

This Post:
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273741.6 in reply to 273741.1
Date: 10/02/2015 03:56:35
Overall Posts Rated:
16031603
Selling your players and buying a new roster during the offseason could make you more money than finishing 5th.

It would be a huge gamble and you'd have to invest a lot of time though. Probably not worth it.

Größter Knecht aller Zeiten aka His Excellency aka President for Life aka Field Marshal Al Hadji aka Lord of All the Beasts of the Earth and Fishes of the Seas aka aka Conqueror of the Buzzerbeater Empire in Europe in General and Austria in Particular
This Post:
33
273741.7 in reply to 273741.1
Date: 10/05/2015 10:39:59
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
Some of the people who posted here above have repeatedly demonstrated they can hardly count, so I would just pay attention to smart advice instead. Read carefully what hrudey wrote, since he gave you most of the information you need to calculate on your own:
1) the 5th team plays no game (so receives no income) and pays half salary in the week following the last regular season game
2) relegation and playoffs gate receipts are shared 50/50 by the teams playing
3) (this is mine) the last regular season game is on Saturday (so the first 2 playoff/relegation games are in the same financial week)
4) (this is mine) the playoff/relegation games have higher attendance than normal regular season games. It is marginal, but it's there

Keeping all this in mind whether 5th is better than 6th or vice-versa depends on 3 main factors:
a) how your weekly economy page looks like (and especially how your gate receipts compare to your player's salary)
b) the arena of the team you play in the relegation series
c) whether the relegation series has 2 or 3 games

To make an example, with my own Utopia team (D3).
My avg attendance is 199k.
Salaries are 174k.
Merch+TV-Staff-Scouting=+74k

Now if I end up 5th I will pay -87k (half) salary +74k rest of the economy which is unaffected (i.e. -13k that week). If I do get 2 relegation games I will have +99k from my home game +87k from away game (assuming the opponent makes the league average 174k instead of my 199k) -174k salary +74k rest of the economy (i.e. +86k that week). So yes it may well be that ending 6th is significantly more profitable than ending 5th. If I have a third relegation game (the tiebreaker) during the following week I would end up with 99k+74k-174k=-1k while in a 5th position I'd get +74k. So even with 3 relegation games the numbers for my team suggest I'd be better off going 6th (+85k vs +63k over 2 weeks), but the benefits are much smaller.

The results may change if salary vs gate receipts is negative and if you play against a bot (because you get much less money from one of the 2 games). For people playing against humans with decent arenas and balanced salary/gates you'll find it's usually better to go 6th. Anyway, you should be easily able to calculate what the income would be if you throw both relegation games, depending on the opponent.

If you have a normal healthy economy and the projected opponent is not a bot, it will be better to end 6th and ensure the relegation series (win or lose) only lasts 2 games. Generally speaking ending 5th has similar (negative) financial consequences to not winning the first round of the playoffs (and therefore only receiving 50% of gates only once).

In your specific case I doubt the 6th placed team can catch you even if you lose all the remaining 6 games, so this is mostly a theoretical exercise. Between 5th and 4th (+losing the first game of the playoffs) it is usually a wash.


Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/05/2015 12:01:29

This Post:
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273741.8 in reply to 273741.7
Date: 10/05/2015 11:41:10
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
I will just add that Lemonshine's analysis of the pure financial matters is excellent reading and guidance. The only addition I could see adding is that where you finish is supposed to have some effect on your fan base in the next season, presumably in season ticket holders and possibly in the fan survey. As that's not really quantifiable (well, at least the data hasn't been figured out yet) it's of course up to you to determine how much weight you want to put in that.

This Post:
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273741.9 in reply to 273741.8
Date: 10/05/2015 12:09:02
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
Yes, it's purely financial reasoning. I'd imagine that relegation vs 5th does have an impact on the "past season performance" part of the fan survey and ticket holders during the following season, especially if you decide to throw both relegation games (as you are possibly regarded as relegated team in that respect).

I would never advocate going 6th or 7th over 5th if you risk demoting. If you are guaranteed to save yourself, you do that rather than risking. However 5th vs 6th in many leagues is a very close affair and can be manipulated to some extent. Just need to pick carefully. As I said, I think that if you have no chance to upset the #1 seeded team in the playoffs 4th or 5th often provide similar income in the first playoff week.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/05/2015 12:16:21

From: Phyr

This Post:
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273741.10 in reply to 273741.9
Date: 10/06/2015 11:08:36
Overall Posts Rated:
654654
I think what wolph said holds some weight in the calculations as well. If you clinch at least the 5th seed but don't have a team that can make a playoff run, selling off your guys is possibility before the end of the season could be potentially lucrative.

I'm spending 350k in salary in DII..if I take my roster down to the salary floor of around 190k..thats +160k an economic update. You are also able to get the best price on your talent as teams are loading up for the playoffs. If you sell after your playoff or relegation series, you will have to sell at a lower. If you are conservative with your effort during the season, you can also potentially CT/normal your way into a playoff spot and gain some of that first round cash.

From: Lemonshine

To: Phyr
This Post:
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273741.11 in reply to 273741.10
Date: 10/06/2015 11:33:04
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
And you can't equally sell up if you end up 6th? You should really know better, than listening to people who can barely count, Phyr...

To continue with my example: the salary floor in Utopia III.1 is 83k.

If I drop 6th and sell everyone and lose (win) both relegation games I have:
+74k+99k+87k-83k=+177k

If I go 5th and sell everyone I have:
+74k-41k=+33k

As I said 6th is better than 5th for most profitable teams, in fact the more profitable you are the higher the incentive to go 6th. You should rather celebrate with me the irony that a self-proclaimed economy guru cannot even grasp such simple concepts or is too lazy to do some elementary calculations.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/06/2015 11:35:05