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6-7 position better than 5th ?

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From: Phyr

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273741.10 in reply to 273741.9
Date: 10/06/2015 11:08:36
Overall Posts Rated:
654654
I think what wolph said holds some weight in the calculations as well. If you clinch at least the 5th seed but don't have a team that can make a playoff run, selling off your guys is possibility before the end of the season could be potentially lucrative.

I'm spending 350k in salary in DII..if I take my roster down to the salary floor of around 190k..thats +160k an economic update. You are also able to get the best price on your talent as teams are loading up for the playoffs. If you sell after your playoff or relegation series, you will have to sell at a lower. If you are conservative with your effort during the season, you can also potentially CT/normal your way into a playoff spot and gain some of that first round cash.

From: Lemonshine

To: Phyr
This Post:
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273741.11 in reply to 273741.10
Date: 10/06/2015 11:33:04
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
And you can't equally sell up if you end up 6th? You should really know better, than listening to people who can barely count, Phyr...

To continue with my example: the salary floor in Utopia III.1 is 83k.

If I drop 6th and sell everyone and lose (win) both relegation games I have:
+74k+99k+87k-83k=+177k

If I go 5th and sell everyone I have:
+74k-41k=+33k

As I said 6th is better than 5th for most profitable teams, in fact the more profitable you are the higher the incentive to go 6th. You should rather celebrate with me the irony that a self-proclaimed economy guru cannot even grasp such simple concepts or is too lazy to do some elementary calculations.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/06/2015 11:35:05

From: Phyr

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273741.12 in reply to 273741.11
Date: 10/06/2015 11:44:44
Overall Posts Rated:
654654
Winning the relegation series after selling everyone is a big IF.

From: Lemonshine

To: Phyr
This Post:
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273741.13 in reply to 273741.12
Date: 10/06/2015 12:04:39
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
Who says you need to win? You just need to ensure you don't get a 3rd game, which, in the OP's case, should be extremely easy to control, be it losing both or winning both. He clearly stated from the beginning that teams in his league can't demote. Besides (see below) you're still better off with 6th and 3 relegation games than ending 5th even in the event of selling everyone.

It's only relevant in the circumstance that hrudey pointed out as we have discussed. There is the possibility that if you lose a relegation series you are treated as "demoted" the following season and you have some hit (difficult to quantify) to your earnings. However with 130k extra cash you will be able to build seats (650 bleachers or 186 lower tier) and that should compensate. Clearly winning both games would be ideal.

Look what happens with a 3rd game:
6th_ +177k in the first week, then +74k+87k-174k=-13k in the second week. Total +164k
5th_ +33k in the first week and +74k in the second week. total +107k

This is really simple math. People should be able to apply the relevant numbers to their own specific situations. As I said, if unlike the OP you risk demoting, you should just go for 5th.

From: Phyr

This Post:
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273741.14 in reply to 273741.13
Date: 10/06/2015 12:09:42
Overall Posts Rated:
654654
yep

This Post:
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273741.15 in reply to 273741.13
Date: 10/07/2015 09:40:30
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
Who says you need to win? You just need to ensure you don't get a 3rd game, which, in the OP's case, should be extremely easy to control, be it losing both or winning both. He clearly stated from the beginning that teams in his league can't demote.


This presupposes that the loss of season ticket holders due to demotion is not assessed, which I don't know to be the case (or not to be the case). If it's treated as a team demoting, and then autopromoting due to bot promotion, the STH loss is not offset with a corresponding gain, and that'd be significantly detrimental to future revenues. I might have to actually check that next season if I can manage to lose enough games in IV, though I won't be going out of my way to do so. ;)

This Post:
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273741.16 in reply to 273741.15
Date: 10/07/2015 10:10:39
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
I understand that. If losing a relegation series without demoting is equivalent to "demoting" and "bot promoting" then you'll have 2 effects conflicting: the demotion and the bot promotion (it's a fair assumption that if one is taken into account, also the other is). The end result is difficult to quantify, but I agree that you probably lose some revenues the following season. However since you can also build seats (if you're not capped) or generate profits with the extra revenues that should absorb some of the potential losses.

Besides this should be only relevant to tanking teams or teams who decide to drop to the salary floor. If someone is able to "choose" where to finish (like the OP would be if he hadn't piled up so many victories so far) and decides to drop to 6th he should be able to win in 2 games in most circumstances: the OP potential opponent is only marginally better than a bot.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/07/2015 10:16:52

This Post:
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273741.18 in reply to 273741.17
Date: 10/07/2015 10:17:10
Overall Posts Rated:
14901490
And I agree that if that's how it's accounted for you will have a lower attendance the following season. I just don't think that people in the middle of the pack in lower divisions should worry about that any more than missing out on (sure money) immediately.

In any case yeah, if you are 4-6 in a league where you can't demote, then it means that you're better than your opponent and he has no major incentive to buy and win a relegation series and you should be able to control the outcome of the series. If you're 7-8 then you really haven't much choice. Best outcome end 6th and win in 2 games, good outcome win in 3, middle outcome lose in 2, bad outcome lose in 3.

Last edited by Lemonshine at 10/07/2015 10:28:05

This Post:
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273741.19 in reply to 273741.16
Date: 10/07/2015 10:22:33
Overall Posts Rated:
32293229
I understand that. If losing a relegation series without demoting is equivalent to "demoting" and "bot promoting" then you'll have 2 effects conflicting: the demotion and the bot promotion (it's a fair assumption that if one is taken into account, also the other is). The end result is difficult to quantify, but I agree that you probably lose some revenues the following season. However since you can also build seats (if you're not capped) or generate profits with the extra revenues that should absorb some of the potential losses.


The main point is the significant difference in bot promotion and promotion via winning the title. From the game manual:
Both promoting league champions and teams that promoted from a bot cleanup will get the extra cash, though bot-promoted teams will not experience the same boost to their season ticket holders.


So the distinction there is that if relegation from the lowest active series counts as a relegation and bot promotion, it's very harmful to a team's season ticket holder base. It very well may not process that way, of course, and it may not be entirely relevant to this specific user, but it's the sort of thing that one would definitely want to be aware of and try to find good data on if they're in this scenario.

From: chihorn
This Post:
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273741.20 in reply to 273741.19
Date: 10/07/2015 14:59:41
New York Chunks
II.2
Overall Posts Rated:
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When in doubt, just win baby!



Don't ask what sort of Chunks they are, you probably don't want to know. Blowing Chunks since Season 4!
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