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Draft-Box Scores

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From: Kronin
This Post:
00
271599.6 in reply to 271599.3
Date: 07/25/2015 09:00:38
Overall Posts Rated:
1616
Could someone please translate that guide into English? I would love to read it. Bummer that I don't speak Spanish.

This Post:
55
271599.8 in reply to 271599.3
Date: 07/25/2015 14:27:32
Overall Posts Rated:
766766
I ran some statistics on this about 5 seasons ago?

I found strong correlation between some stats, but low correlation between other stats.

I compiled box scores from about 20 teams and compared to the draftees skills sets.

Steals and OD had strong correlation
So did Assists and passing
So did FGM and IS
and PTS and IS
TR and Rebounding

HOwever things like 3pt FGM vs JR, correlation was low.

Handling and Driving were not correlated to anything.nor was stamina, FT's

So essentially i came to the conclusion that its generally 'logical' relationships between box scores and you have about a 70% change of it being logical.
But its also relative to the rest of the draftee's. 54 points vs 30 points, IS is still probably only going to be Respectable.

This Post:
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271599.9 in reply to 271599.8
Date: 07/25/2015 15:15:01
Fab Five
II.3
Overall Posts Rated:
13351335
Second Team:
Fabulous Five
I remember now what you wrote. Very good points.
Basically, you can use the stats to order your draft picks if you don't have anything better, but you can't be 100 % sure of the skills you are going to get.

From: Kronin

This Post:
00
271599.10 in reply to 271599.7
Date: 07/25/2015 21:57:56
Overall Posts Rated:
1616
that would be awesome! I can be patient, yes. But I will keep checking back.

This Post:
00
271599.11 in reply to 271599.4
Date: 07/26/2015 00:46:16
Palestra Itália
III.1
Overall Posts Rated:
296296
Second Team:
S.E. Palmeiras
It´s not the box score is unique, the players change from each draft board. For example, your #13 player is not the #13 player for other teams.

This Post:
33
271599.13 in reply to 271599.12
Date: 07/26/2015 10:27:06
Overall Posts Rated:
766766
my study contradicted a few of the items above, but im not sure of the sample size used to compile the above stats.

The thing to remember about stats is that they are relative. The above article sort of indicates that there is a fixed relationship between the actual number, and the outcome, which is a contrary to correlation coefficients, which is what I produced.

Correlation is the relationship between two numbers that represent different things.
X represents Box Score Assists, Y represents Passing skill.

Over a sample area, the correlation is representation by the relationship between a lower X value and a lower Y value.

HOWEVER, this does NOT mean 1 assist = Atrocious passing.

What it means, is that if you have two players, Player 1 and Player 2, and Player 1 assisted 1 time, and Player 2 assisted 2 times, and the correlation between assists and passing is high, then there is a high likelihood that Player 2 will have higher passing, than player 1.

The correlations do not suggest that Player 1 has Atrocious passing and Player 2 has pitiful Passing. Merely the relative relationship between the two.

In the end, my advice is to use box score as differentiators between two players, but in a 'gambling' context. You are gambling that that box score indicates the skill is higher/lower. But its educated gambling.

This Post:
11
271599.15 in reply to 271599.14
Date: 07/26/2015 12:18:07
Palestra Itália
III.1
Overall Posts Rated:
296296
Second Team:
S.E. Palmeiras
That is new to me, tks for sharing

From: HAHA

This Post:
11
271599.16 in reply to 271599.12
Date: 07/27/2015 11:01:56
HAHA001
IBL
Overall Posts Rated:
448448
Thanks for sharing. Not sure it works or not, but at least it helps me to narrow down interviewing the players after group demonstration.

Give it a try this season, and review after draft :)

Last edited by HAHA at 07/27/2015 11:11:43

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