How often should the #4 seed be able to beat the #1 seed by playing CT vs. normal?
That's a tough question - not all #4 and #1 seeds are created equal.
It's hard to fit that into one box for the thousands of 4-1 matchups each season.
NO ONE at this table ordered a rum & Coke 
 Charles: Penn has some good people 
 A CT? Really? 
 Any two will do 
 Any three for me 
 Any four will score 
 Any five are live