I totally agree with this and have this to add:
Don't plan one game ahead. Plan the whole season. Take a few minutes at the beginning of new season and think about your plans for this (and maybe even next) season. Do you want to:
- promote?
- come in fifth and try to win as much cup games as possible?
- come in 7th so you get a good draft pick?
If you answer those questions, it will be pretty easy to determine for each game if you want to win or lose, thus you know if you want to TIE, play normal or CT.