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Buzzerbeater Has Dominant Skill And Tactics Strategy

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292941.5 in reply to 292941.1
Date: 4/6/2018 10:59:05 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Look Inside are popular because Outside Defense can be against everything and Inside Shot is free and easy to get with PF/SF driving for short players. The former denies outside tactics and the latter enhance inside offense.


Sure, teams may shoot better and more efficiently with LI than they would with an outside tactic, but they also have to deal with getting more offensive rebounds and free throw attempts and... oh, yeah.

This Post:
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292941.6 in reply to 292941.4
Date: 4/6/2018 11:04:59 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Also the problem are not JR or JS, but the way open shots are simulated. Open shots should have a higher chance of going in, but it appears that team defense is what determines the success of an open shot.


Yes, yes, a million times yes. Did I mention yes?

I still remember a SG I had (Jack Poirier) who consistently over a two plus season span had a higher FG% on contested jump shots vs. "open" ones. I don't believe I ever played him out of position (so always PG, SG, or maybe SF) so it's not a case of lighting up the three skill donkey big men, either. And he was my best pure jump shooter pretty much all of that time, so it wasn't like it was just a guy who wouldn't shoot unless given a tremendous matchup.

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292941.9 in reply to 292941.7
Date: 4/9/2018 3:14:55 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
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Did you see the other post?

S39 unguarded turnaround jumpers 0/77, fade aways 0/100 and hooks 0/85: all 0% success rate.
Guarded turnaround 78/238, fade aways 306/1092 and hooks 80/271.

S38 (on incomplete data) unguarded turnaround 1/62, fade aways 1/55 and hooks 0/56
Guarded turnaround 60/194, fade aways 295/881 and hooks 67/196

So it appears that if you want to score on those shots it MUST be a guarded shot. Interesting and completely bollocks.


The FG% for Jump Shots is 37% unguarded and 30.5% guarded. The number for 3 pointers is 28.6% and 23.6% respectively. But of course to add insult to injury Jumpers and 3 pointers are also the most guarded shots (with only 34% and 24% open shots respectively).


Yeah, I saw it. It's good stuff (well, good in the sense that I appreciate the effort and considered it very useful to know, not that I think the stats are indicative of a positive situation in terms of the game's balance). I kind of wish I had the patience to catalog the wild disparities in shooting percentages that occur with Princeton - I suspect if I went back through, I could probably identify at least one third of the games where I had a six minute stretch with under 5 points and a six minute stretch with at least 18 points. Maybe even more than that.