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Promotion watch: S18

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From: malice
This Post:
11
201655.1
Date: 11/7/2011 1:00:05 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
532532
Yet again, II.1 is basically the thick of it.

Div IIs...
II.4 & II.3 - no humans at this point in time.

II.2 - 7 teams, but 1 or 2 are heading bot.
Teams to watch...
Elandstraat 263 - a middling roster, but has a 30yo $90k C.
Okayama Chon - has better balance than E263, but I'm not sure if he can stop that center.
Mythical Man-Month - solid-ish roster, some good players... but I'd place him behind OC/E263 at the moment.

II.1
- 12 teams, but 1 is heading bot.
Teams to watch...
Kyoto Shogun - Good depth, strong guards. Looking to sell his two superstars, so time'll tell as to what improvements he can make.
Shikoku Otaku - Guy's been up near the very top for several seasons now, but fallen at the last hurdle each time. A strong team.
Terry Bogard - Opened the season with a win over NKRK, but it took at CT-vs-TIE on his floor to do it - still... a win's a win. A quality team now tho' - and anyone that takes him lightly won't get the 'W'.
NKRK - Kinda seems to be in that twilight zone between being a solid playoff-team and a true contender. Improvements have to be made if promotion's on the cards.
BBsTar - Down to Div II after a season in the JBBL, now has to show he really wants it. Has the benefit of being in the lighter conference in II.1.
楽しい - Has some quality in there, but tends to do some odd things line-up-wise. Opportunity knocks tho' - the Big 8 of II.1 could be nice to him.
Baikinman - Started to make some headway on the top of B8 last season, and will look to make more ground on them in S18.

The problem is the logjam in II.1 yet again. Certainly, no humans in .3/4 make more spots for promotion, but it's going to be a lot easier to get a nice winning record in II.2 than in .1... and should any teams join 3 or 4, then it's almost an auto-promote to a team that's not going to deserve it.

Gonna be tough, and there's heartache in there for more than a few teams. Bring it on.

Last edited by malice at 11/7/2011 1:02:21 AM

http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan
This Post:
00
201655.3 in reply to 201655.1
Date: 11/7/2011 5:16:53 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
110110
Great stuff. It is early and some teams could have millions tucked away as I did at the end of last season. My choice is keep the team I have, make no money for a season but probably have a good enough record to promote no matter what happens in the playoffs, or sell now, make money and buy up before the playoffs again. You can see I am trying to sell, but not at such a low price that I make a big loss.

This Post:
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201655.4 in reply to 201655.3
Date: 1/16/2012 7:52:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
110110
In 2/1 things are fairly locked up.

BBstAr should win out to have a record of 20/2 +1100
Kyoto should win out to have a record of 20/2 +1000

It is most likely that NKRK or Shikoku Otaku will actually win the finals.

In 2/2

Mythical Man Moth should go 22-0 +1300
Elandstraat 263 will win and end up 20 +1000 with a roster where their second best player is 10k in mediocre GS.
Okayama Chon look very strong and could upset the Moth.

Whatever happens Moth and BBstAr go up.

Realistic options
Winners: MMM & KS
BBstAr and 263 get the bot promotions.

MMM & NKRK or SO
BBstAr & 263 or KS will get the bot promotion.

Okayama & KS
BBstAr & MMM get the bot promotions.

Okayama & NKRK or SO
BBstAr & MMM get the bot promotions.

From: malice

This Post:
00
201655.7 in reply to 201655.6
Date: 1/16/2012 11:12:50 PM
Overall Posts Rated:
532532
only one promotee a year from now on most likely! That has to SUCK!

Oh yes. It sucks...

http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan
From: malice

This Post:
00
201655.9 in reply to 201655.8
Date: 1/17/2012 2:03:01 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
532532
Perhaps... I don't know. Your WR is very good at the moment. Mine? For Div II it's excellent. And there are 6 JBBL teams with a WR lower than mine.

As to the current situation, I'm not mixing it with bots - almost never. Therein lies the issue: we (Div II teams) are not competing on a level playing field. It's not even close.
The powers-that-be should balance the teams out amongst Div II, not just have a logjam in one division. They can mouth platitudes about "having a competitive division" all they like. It's complete BS, and not something they're experiencing themselves - it's pretty frustrating to watch inferior teams get up to JBBL merely because they played in a crappy, bot-filled div.
I could possibly go 20-2 this season (possibly), be the top-ranked Div II team in Japan... yet not promote because some guy playing against bots week-in, week-out has a better PD than me.
Oh well.

http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan
From: Taiyo

This Post:
00
201655.10 in reply to 201655.8
Date: 1/17/2012 2:39:54 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
5959
The thing I like about a small nation is that all the active players know each other/talk with each other. If they combined a bunch of smaller nations in asia then I think you lose that and the Japan National bond. Kakes it harder to build and manage a national group and national programs.

Instead I think they should just change the bot promotion to be based on National rank rather than record & PD. If the ranking formula were done right (maybe as is) it should pick the team that has the best overall performance rather than just who gets the easiest schedule. If they do this then the best teams would move to D1 faster and the D1/higher divisions would be stronger.

From: malice

This Post:
00
201655.11 in reply to 201655.10
Date: 1/17/2012 2:45:00 AM
Overall Posts Rated:
532532
That's actually a good idea. The most elegant solution to the problem I've seen, and an even more appropriate selection process than the one they currently have in place.

http://with-malice.com/ - The half-crazed ramblings of a Lakers fanatic in Japan