Generally, you should pick tactics based your team's skills or the skills of your opponent. If your strength is going outside, you should play an outside focused tactic unless your opponent has much stronger outside defense or a glaring weakness in their inside defense. Same goes if you have an inside team. There are many other factors that can go into tactics though. If you want your best outside defender to guard your opponent's shooting guard (for example if you have a PG or SF with low OD), man to man would be your best bet. Or, if you want to take advantage of a PF with high JS and JR, princeton would be a good option. Each tactic has certain optimal skills for each position.
Against a man to man, if the opponent's defense is high I prefer to use a fast, focused attack. Balanced offenses tend to be unable to break through a very strong, balanced defense, and a fast offense won't run into the shot clock as much as other tactics. Personally, I favor run and gun, but this is in part due to my team's own strengths. If I had guards with enough passing to get the ball to big men with enough inside shot, I'd run look inside against such offenses as well. However, if you have a balanced team playing against a weaker defense, a balanced offense if more often than not the superior choice (against a man to man or otherwise). This is because your players will be able to take advantage of any match-up they have an edge in, rather than neglect areas where you have an advantage due to offensive focus. If you have enough flow, I'd also go with a slower tactic in such a situation.
Then you have to throw form, enthusiasm, and home court advantage into the mix ...
But to answer your last question, if your opponent has better defense playing man to man than your offense, and your team doesn't have an equally or superior defensive advantage, he probably has the better team and should win. Then again, you have to consider flow and rebounding too. Needless to say, a lot goes into choosing tactics.
Last edited by SM at 5/12/2010 8:23:37 PM