Since we are in the consolation tourney, it might be a good idea to keep track of our 'direct' opponents. direct opponents as in the other nations vying for HCA. Here is the list after 4 games (remember, Philippines, Australia, Singapore & Hong Kong are starting with a 0-2 record for being in the repechage tournament)
current ranking:
considering you are trying to get some sort of HCA, i'd post on the forum the standings of the teams from the asian continent. that way you can track where you need to try and finish
currently:
22 Philipines (2-2 record, 111 PD)
37 New Zealand (2-2 record, 9 PD)
38 Nippon ( 2-2 record, 3 PD)
45 Macau (2-2 record, -22 PD)
47 U.A.E. ( 2-2 record, -72 PD)
56 Australia (1-3 record, --16 PD)
60 Malasia (1-3 record, -45 PD)
61 Iran (1-3 record, -49 PD)
63 Viet Nam (1-3 record, -67 PD)
64 India (1-3 record, -71 PD)
65 Hanguk ( 1-3 record, -75 PD)
67 Saudi Arabia (1-3 record, -86 PD)
68 Prathet Thai (1-3 record, -88 PD)
70 Pakistan ( 1-3 record,-101 PD)
71 Lubnan (1-3 record, -105 PD)
72 Kazakhstan ( 1-3 record, -112 PD)
73 hong Kong (0-4 record, -13 PD)
83 Indonesia (0-4 record, -212 PD)
85 Singapore (0-4 record, -58 PD)
Predictions:
*) Philipines should end with a 4-4 record. they face 2 european teams away still. their remaining 2 home games are against micronations, so their Point differential should go up. They might drop a CT against either of those european nations (Slovenko & Latvia)
*) New Zealand should equally end at 4-4. a game against Bosnia is out of there reach & game against Peru should also be a loss for them. Against Wales they should be able to get a win
*) Nippon ( japan) will be a 3-5 or 4-4 at the end
*) Australia. there are 3 beatable opponents (ireland, Ghana & Guatemala. Last game against Ghana might be a tricky one. ghana will be eliminated so might decide to drop a CT, which would you have to match in hopes of winning that game). That means that a 4 victories are well within the capablities of this team (provided all players stay in good shape). that means it might boil down to the game against Greece (who are still strong but weaker than in the previous seasons!) If you manage to carve out a victory there, you got a 5-3 record. If the Philipinnes tie it, they'll get HCA. if not, it should be yours once more.
So Australia might be behind, but there is still a real chance of making a come back! All is left to play for in the following games. It would seem to be a 2 horse race between Philippines and Australia, with New zealand as a dark horse.